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Holder Fund

Rainbox Comparison

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1 Introduction

The Rainbow Cycle Comparison Chart is a comparative chart based on the rainbow chart. It is used to compare the price performance of the current cycle and past cycles in the rainbow chart, so as to discover the consistent laws of the Bitcoin cycle.
We can find in this chart that in the rainbow chart of the current cycle, the lowest/highest price of each cycle is within the rainbow chart interval, thus verifying the consistency of the Bitcoin cycle.

2 Definitions

2.1 Functional Definition

The Rainbow Cycle Comparison Chart is an analytical tool that verifies the consistency of market cycles by comparing the price rainbow distributions of Bitcoin's current cycle with historical cycles. Its core values include:
  • ✅ Identify the regularity of price extreme points (lowest/highest points) within the rainbow chart interval

  • ✅ Verify the similarity of price fluctuation patterns in different cycles

  • ✅ Assist in judging the stage of the current cycle

2.2 Core Insight

"The price extreme points of each Bitcoin cycle stably fall within the historical rainbow chart interval, proving that there are significant cyclical laws in the market."

3 Technical Specifications

3.1 Cycle Definition

Cycle Name Time Range Color Code
Comparison Cycle 1 2010-12-29 - 2015-01-13 #EF5350
Comparison Cycle 2 2015-01-13 - 2018-12-15 #FF9800
Comparison Cycle 3 2018-12-15 - 2022-11-21 #26A69A
Current Cycle 2022-11-21 - Present Black

3.2 Chart Elements

Component Display Rules
X-axis Current cycle timeline (date)
Y-axis Current cycle price (logarithmic coordinate recommended)
Data Line Current cycle: Solid line (black)

Comparison cycles: Translucent dashed lines (colored according to 3.1)
Labels Current cycle date + price + rainbow chart price interval
Hidden Specific price values of historical cycles

4 Typical Application Scenarios

4.1 Cycle Verification

When the current cycle price touches:
  • Lower limit interval → Verify whether it coincides with the historical bear market bottom probability interval

  • Upper limit interval → Verify whether it coincides with the historical bull market top probability interval

4.2 Anomaly Detection

If the current price deviates from the historical rainbow interval by more than 2σ, a cycle anomaly warning is triggered